empty
07.04.2022 10:28 PM
Analysts predict strengthening of the Canadian dollar

The Canadian dollar will strengthen in the coming year, analysts interviewed by journalists believe. This version is supported by the fact that the Bank of Canada is potentially aggressively raising interest rates. Nevertheless, growth may be limited by the economy's dependence on the housing market.

Analyst predict strengthening of the Canadian dollar

This image is no longer relevant

The average forecast of the survey showed expectations of a 0.4% increase in the Canadian dollar to 1.25 per US dollar, or 80 US cents, in three months, which is in line with last month's forecast. The growth estimate forecast for the year was $1.23.

If tensions between Russia and Ukraine ease over the next few months, there will be "a reason for a little more risk trading, which would be beneficial for the Canadian dollar," Royce Mendes said, and noted that these same factors will force the Bank of Canada to play a little more aggressively.

The central bank of Canada is expected to raise its overnight interest rate by half a percent at its next policy meeting on April 13, according to median economists' forecasts. They also sharply increased their forecasts of domestic inflation for this year.

Recall that the Bank of Canada has not raised rates by this amount since May 2000. But last month, the central bank raised the rate by a quarter of a percentage point, which it usually prefers, for the first time since October 2018.

Since the Ukrainian crisis has spurred demand for the US dollar-a haven, the Canadian dollar has not benefited as much as usual from rising oil prices. But this may change as the oil market is now being globally restructured.

"I think there is still room for growth as investors digest some of the positive impact of higher commodity prices on the Canadian economy," said Stephen Brown, senior economist for Canada.

Canada is a major energy producer, thanks to which exports reached a record high in February. Economists expect further export growth.

But another key part of the economy, the housing market, has started to lose its momentum.

In addition, this in itself may be an early sign that there are limits to how much the Bank of Canada will be willing to raise rates in the current tightening cycle, at least compared to the Federal Reserve.

"The recovery in Canada is much more dependent on housing investment and housing prices in general, and obviously they are more sensitive to higher interest rates," Brown said, referring to the comparison with US markets.

However, a moderate rise in prices may force some Canadians to purchase real estate as a refuge, as well as in order to reduce rent costs, as well as spur the primary housing construction sector, eventually turning into a positive increase in GDP.

Egor Danilov,
Especialista em análise na InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Selecionar intervalo de tempo
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hora
4
horas
1
dia
1
s.
Ganhe com as variações das taxas das criptomoedas com a InstaForex.
Baixe o MetaTrader 4 e abra a sua primeira operação.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    PARTICIPE DO CONCURSO

Recommended Stories

Resumo de notícias do mercado dos EUA para 15 de abril

O governo Trump fez concessões: as tarifas sobre produtos eletrônicos foram temporariamente suspensas, e condições mais flexíveis para a indústria automobilística estão sendo consideradas. Esses movimentos desencadearam uma reação positiva

Ekaterina Kiseleva 18:21 2025-04-15 UTC+2

Apple sobe, mercado congela em antecipação à Netflix: o que está acontecendo no mercado de ações dos EUA

Ações dos EUA apresentam ganhos modestos com o adiamento das tarifas sobre alguns produtos eletrônicos Ações de tecnologia superam as europeias e asiáticas, ações da Apple saltam Goldman Sachs sobe

Thomas Frank 18:08 2025-04-15 UTC+2

Ações da Apple dispara. Investidores em ações atentos ao relatório da Netflix

As ações dos EUA registram ganhos modestos. A Apple avança, assim como o Goldman Sachs. Mais relatórios de lucros serão divulgados ao longo da semana, incluindo o da Netflix

15:03 2025-04-15 UTC+2

Resumo de notícias do mercado dos EUA para 14 de abril

O mercado acionário dos EUA se recuperou após o presidente Donald Trump anunciar a remoção das tarifas sobre computadores e smartphones. A decisão deu um impulso especialmente forte a empresas

Ekaterina Kiseleva 18:07 2025-04-14 UTC+2

Fabricantes de chips europeus comemoram alta das ações nos EUA

Uma recuperação das ações de tecnologia ajudou a elevar as ações europeias na segunda-feira, depois que o presidente dos EUA, Donald Trump, concedeu isenções às tarifas chinesas sobre smartphones

Thomas Frank 15:51 2025-04-14 UTC+2

Resumo de notícias do mercado dos EUA para 11 de abril

Após a explosiva recuperação de quarta-feira — desencadeada pelo anúncio do presidente Donald Trump de uma suspensão de 90 dias nas tarifas — os mercados dos EUA decidiram, na quinta-feira

Natalia Andreeva 18:47 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Montanha-russa: S&P 500 cai 3%, ouro atinge máximas históricas

Ações dos EUA caem após os eventos de quarta-feira, S&P 500 cai 3% Ações europeias e asiáticas fecham em alta depois que Trump suspende a maioria das tarifas Recuperação

Thomas Frank 17:55 2025-04-11 UTC+2

Por que as ações estão subindo enquanto o yuan cai e os futuros dos EUA recuam?

Ações sobem, mas futuros dos EUA caem Ações chinesas sobem mesmo com o yuan atingindo a mínima de vários anos Ações europeias sobem após Trump suspender tarifas Rodada do mercado

Thomas Frank 18:19 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Mercado dos EUA em 10 de abril: Reações ao Alívio nas Tarifas e Expectativas

S&P 500 atinge nova máxima histórica, mas resistência em 5.669 permanece como principal obstáculo. Suspensão temporária de tarifas impulsiona os ganhos: S&P 500 e Nasdaq encerram o dia em alta

Irina Maksimova 18:06 2025-04-10 UTC+2

Bitcoin luta para encontrar apoio enquanto a turbulência tarifária agita os mercados globais

A principal criptomoeda segue em um estado instável, sem conseguir estabelecer uma base sólida. O Bitcoin enfrenta alta volatilidade e registrou perdas nesta semana. Ainda assim, especialistas permanecem otimistas, prevendo

Larisa Kolesnikova 15:18 2025-04-10 UTC+2
Não pode falar agora?
Faça sua pergunta no chat.
Widget callback
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaForex anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.